College football Week 4 odds, picks, and predictions. Minnesota at No. Jimbo Fisher let Max Johnson start the subsequent game against Miami, and he merely went 10-for-20 for 140 yardspretty much all of it to either Ainias Smith or Devon Achane. He debuted with SportsLine in 2017 and has delivered in a big way on his college football picks. If it comes down to which defense is more on point, I'll take the one that has been more opportunistic (Iowa State has eight takeaways to Baylor's two), the one that has yet to allow an opponent to score multiple touchdowns in a game and the one with home-field advantage. It's ye olde unstoppable force vs. immovable object debate. No. The Cougars are allowing fewer than 13 points per game, have forced seven turnovers this season and have 14 sacks, which is tied for second nationally. With a trio of ranked vs. ranked games on tap to go along with three instances of a ranked team playing on the road against a 3-0 foe, the recipe for chaos is certainly there. The Bulldogs' lone win surpassing this spread was against Oregon. Bowl projections - Texas vs. Miami for all the Cheez-Its? Pitt QB Kedon Slovis (undisclosed upper body injury) did not play in last week's 34-13 win at Western Michigan, though he was cleared to do so. Unreliable, turnover-prone DJ Uiagalelei could be in for a long day against a Wake defense averaging two interceptions per game. The Herm Edwards era at Arizona State is over, and as was the case for Nebraska this past weekend against Oklahoma, that first game under the interim head coach is probably going to be a nightmare. Take the value with this spread being under a touchdown. Related: College Football Predictions for Every Game in Week 4. See full Week 4 college football picks, odds, predictions here, Central Michigan at Penn State (-28, 63.5), Northern Illinois at Kentucky (-26.5, 53). In last week's victory against UTSA, Robinson recorded 20 carries for 183 yards and three touchdowns. SportsLine's model is projecting Robinson to rush 114 yards and a touchdown on Saturday, helping the Longhorns cover in 60% of simulations. Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. But Slovis or no Slovis, it's unlikely Pitt will be sweating this one out quite like Arkansas was against its FCS foe (Missouri State) in Week 3. The Wolverines have won three home meetings against the Scarlet Knights by an average of 35.3 points per game. NC State can't afford to look ahead to the showdown against Clemson next week, even if quarterback Devin Leary should have the offense in cruise control by the second half against UConn. If that's the case, maybe Rhode Islandwhich does have a respectable offense led by former Maryland QB Kasim Hillat least covers whatever the spread ends up being. USC's offensive firepower is one of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than 70% of the time. The Huskies are coming off a 59-0 loss at Michigan, but this spread still feels a little too high. For the second week in a row last week Ole Miss smashed Georgia Tech 42-0 as 17-point favorites the spread looks a few points short. Overlooked in high school, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the NFL. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, at 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) [7:30 p.m.]. Fortunately for the ranked team in this matchup, the NIU secondary is abysmal, having allowed 11 passing touchdowns through its first three games against Eastern Illinois, Tulsa and Vanderbilt. You can only see his picks at SportsLine. This is a get-over-the-hump game for the Demon Deacons, who have lost the last 13 meetings against the Tigers. In what was supposed to be an opportunity to legitimately enter the College Football Playoff conversation, the Cougars could not get a stop to save their lives, falling behind 38-7 by midway through the third quarter and ultimately losing 41-20. Somehow, with help from a pick six, some short fields and a late missed field goal, the Gators still managed to eke out a home win over South Florida. Fun fact: Minnesota has scored 20 offensive touchdowns and has allowed a grand total of 17 points. It's one thing to struggle against Florida, but averaging less than three yards per carry in last week's shutout of Youngstown State was a troubling takeaway from an otherwise convincing victory. The Sooners have won the last three games in Norman by 20 points or more. Middle Tennessee State has picked up two victories the last two weeks, but they are the same team that lost 44-7 to James Madison in the opener. The Vols haven't won in The Swamp since 2003, and Florida's offense will present several issues for Josh Heupel. BYU looked like it expected Oregon to be as bad in Week 3 as Georgia made Oregon look in Week 1. The Badgers will try to make a much-needed statement for the Big Ten West on the road. (Our projection was Huskies 31-27.). 8 min read. Year No. Ohio State is averaging 8.44 yards per play and a nation-best 565.3 total yards per game, while Wisconsin has allowed 24 total points and has not yet allowed an opponent to gain more than 253 total yards. 19 BYU Cougars (2-1) vs. Wyoming Cowboys (3-1) [10:15 p.m.]. One week removed from allowing five consecutive touchdown drives of 75 or more yards in a 42-21 loss to Delaware, Rhode Island faces an even stiffer test against a ranked FBS opponent. Also, the Week 4 slate includes Wisconsin-Ohio State, Arkansas-Texas A&M, and Oregon-Washington State. 8 Wisconsin (2019), 63-10 loss to No. Virginia comes into this game with a 12-3 record overall and they have gone 5-10 against the spread.The Mountaineers (10-6, 0-4 Big 12) are looking to . Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine. Quarterback Anthony Richardson completed just 14 of 35 passes for 143 yards and two interceptions against Kentucky. Games with spreads this high shouldn't be played. 2) My NFL picks in this newspaper are 23-9 (and out tomorrow! No. ATS PICK UMass . He has completed 88.2 percent of his minimal pass attempts, and he should make a spirited push toward the top three of the Heisman conversation in this game against a secondary that has allowed 661 passing yards and six touchdowns over the past two games against Charlotte and SMU. Texas State at Nevada. Michigan State holds Minnesota under 200 rushing yards and escapes with the home victory. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. Penn State crushes MAC opponents under James Franklin, and the last five victories were by an average of 40.8 points per game. He will be greeted by 100,000-plus Tennessee fans at Neyland Stadium on Saturday afternoon, creating a tricky environment for a struggling quarterback who has yet to throw a touchdown. Best bets: Michigan, Arkansas, Kansas StateThis season: 16-27-2 2014-21 record: 1,030-970-19, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, College Football Playoff predictions: Michigan vs. LSU, Georgia vs. Ohio State, College football bowl game predictions: Picks against the spread for every game, College football picks and predictions Friday: Bahamas Bowl, Cure Bowl, College football Saturday predictions: TCU vs. Kansas State, plus more picks, College football predictions: USC vs. Utah, plus another Friday pick, College Football National Championship winner odds. The Beavers routed the Trojans 45-27 last season, but there is a value in that half-point dip in the line. Pick: NC State wins 48-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. SportsLine's model is projecting a big day for Williams, who is throwing for more than 320 yards and three touchdowns in the latest simulations. Saturday should be even zanier, so I'm going to try to control the uncontrollable starting with . Beware of the back-door cover here, but we'll trust that track record with Penn State. All six games were decided by at least 21 points. What are the best bets for Week 4 of college football? Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. That seems about right considering New Mexico has scored 14 points or fewer in six of its nine games. But for now, here are our first early Week 4 college football odds, picks, and predictions. Time for the Cougar faithful to drink a few hundred gallons of Fireball and cheer their boys to what might be the biggest upset of Week 4. 10 Arkansas and No. This week's games feel easier to predict, though famous last words in college football. See which other teams the model likes here. With the record number of upsets through the first three weeks, that has not been easy. Athlon Sports is previewing the very best games of the week. No. Miami bounces back from the Texas A&M loss with a crisp performance at home. Pick: Iowa wins 35-10 and COVERS the spread. TCU flexed its offensive muscle in a 62-14 win over the Iowa State Cyclones last week. The Badgers have given up 8.0 points per game through three weeks, but they haven't faced an offense like this. Available in AZ, CT, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. The temptation to pick the upset is there, but the Cyclones get out with the victory. as pre-draft murmurs have begun coming out of the college football season.With Kentucky's Will . Clemson has been stop-and-start on offense, but the defense has allowed just 14.0 points per game through three games. Lincoln Rileys newly formed USC core is due to commit its first turnover of the season. Before locking in any college football bets on those games or others, be sure to see the top Week 4 college football expert picks, predictions and best bets from Barrett Sallee. Texas won 63-56 in 2020 and 70-35 last season. Make sure to check out our college football page for more content like college football week 4 picks against the spread! And if you're not dripping with anticipation for 3-0 Duke at 3-0 Kansas, I don't know what to tell you. Other Week 8 college football picks against the spread. Pick: Kentucky wins 35-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. The Commodores and Crimson Tide don't play often, but Alabama has won the last two meetings in 2011 and 2017 by a combined score of 93-0. Making college football picks against the spread for Week 5 a bit . Lower stakes bring out the worst in the Bulldogs, who have covered one of their past six games . The Cougars are coming off a brutal loss at Oregon. 3) Favorites went 15-0 straight up and 14-1 against the spread in the games from the column last week. 14 Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (1-2) [Noon]. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. still leads another victory, but it will be late-night fun. Clemson has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season and is coming off its bye week. Vanderbilt has improved under second-year coach Clark Lea, and the Crimson Tide have been plagued by penalties. 4 Michigan (-26.5) at Rutgers (7:30 p.m., BTN) Rutgers has kept the last two games close against the Wolverines; losing by an average of 6. . The Aggies were upset by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 17-9 win over then-No. Here are college football week 4 picks against the spread. This still is a hurdle game. Enjoy the free college football picks against the spread as well! Because with a ginormous game at Clemson coming up next weekend, the Wolfpack are going to want to pull Devin Leary and Co. as soon as possible. New starter Max Johnson can lead Texas A&M to back-to-back victories against ranked teams, but Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson was the star of this matchup last season. Week 4 features a pair of neutral site matchups between teams ranked in the AP Top 25. Texas A&M got back on track with the victory against Miami, but the Aggies must generate a running game against an Arkansas run defense that allows just 68.3 yards per game. College Football HQ makes picks against the spread for the top games in Week 11, including big matchups in the SEC and in the Big 12. The up-and-down Gators revolve around Anthony Richardson, and they cannot turn the ball over against Tennessee which is 3-0 ATS this season. 17 Baylor. LINE Missouri -1.5. The total was 77.5. Penn State destroyed Auburn last weekend, though that was probably more of a testament to Auburn's "badness" than it was to Penn State's "goodness." Every AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No. What could go wrong? No. The Ducks are 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season. If you lean toward No. Curiously enough, MTSU holds a 2-0 edge in this all-time series. Alabama has covered two 40-point spreads this season, and they do it again here. . I know not to rely on Iowa to score more than once. The Bears missed out on a chance to win a tough road game two weeks ago at BYU. Sep 10, 2022; Clemson, South Carolina, USA; Clemson Tigers . Florida currently sits at 4-4 overall and 1-4 against the SEC, but the Gators aren't nearly as low on . Who knows what to make of Florida? The Buckeyes' hammered Wisconsin 38-7 in their last visit to The Shoe in 2019. Our predictions for each Week 4 game are broken into three sections: Top 25 teams, best unranked clashes and the rest of the slate. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. The Rebels rank fifth in the nation with a withering rushing attack that averages 271.7 yards per game. The Wolverines keep rolling with J.J. McCarthy under center. If you want further details on this week's card, check out our college football home page with every game preview as well as The Early Reed from Tuesday, our college football betting show that is LIVE every Tuesday at 1 PM EST. 18 Washington Huskies (3-0) vs. Stanford Cardinal (1-1) [10:30 p.m.]. Iowa improves to 4-0 ATS with another big win. The Tigers won their opener against Georgia Tech 41-10, but that was a 14-10 game with 21 minutes remaining. Every AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No. In the end, though, it's going to be too much Caleb Williams, too much Jordan Addison and too much of a rushing attack that has been exponentially better than it was over the previous four seasons. North Carolina and Wake Forest should've been a wild and crazy firefight. Michigan State's front seven is solid, though. Full T&C apply. Pick: Clemson wins 28-16 and COVERS the spread. Auburn lost in Happy Valley, but Georgia State offers a chance for a get-well game. 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